How far will Neymar/Kane grow by July 2018?
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Interested in what you all think?
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@NewUser47103 neymar £15 wouldnt surprise me
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Dividend structure can only take growth so far.
However, agree with c. £15 for Neymar, probably £12ish for Kane.
PLENTY of money to be made on both if you get in now.
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@CleanShirtTrader Why does the dividend structure restrict it?
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@CleanShirtTrader said in How far will Neymar/Kane grow by July 2018?:
Dividend structure can only take growth so far.
However, agree with c. £15 for Neymar, probably £12ish for Kane.
PLENTY of money to be made on both if you get in now.Yep this looks about right to me too. The only unknown is whether FI eventually increase the buzz payouts as they have before. I've no idea whether this would be affordable, but presumably the commission they earn increases exponentially as players get more expensive, and it's their trump card to trigger more growth if the market starts to slow and reaches a natural equilibrium.
I guess the other factor could be expectations. Currently everyone seems to want 20% ROI. As FI becomes more established and less risky to invest maybe we'll start being happy with 10%. Which again will push prices higher.
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@NewUser111581 said in How far will Neymar/Kane grow by July 2018?:
@CleanShirtTrader Why does the dividend structure restrict it?
5p MB for a player at £9 is 0.56% return
5p MB for a player at £12 is 0.41% returnBecause the buzz payouts are a fixed price, the more expensive the player is the less return you get per payout.
That’s why everyone loves it when their 90p defender hits a PB payout- that’s 13.33% right there.
As the market grows, returns need to keep up or it begins to stagnate and there’ll be massive volatility as people sell off the low value/high pricers. Eventually, unless traders see potential for growth, people will see a big drop in the ‘top players’ and fear the worst. People then take out money, FOOTIE falls and then the world ends in a massive fireball of rape and destruction.
TL;DR- need value from the dividend returns.
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If Brazil win the World Cup then Neymar could go to £18/£20 !!! and if England get to Quarter Final/Semi-Final/Final then Kane could be £15/£17 !!!
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@CleanShirtTrader Thanks a lot mate, explained it well for me.
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Think neymar will hit £15 during world cup maybe £13 for Kane but im expecting both to take a hit once the world cups done . Thats unless Madrid are still sniffing round neymar though.
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Kane will probably take a hit, Neymar perhaps not so much as whatever happens he will always be a MB player in a dominating team scoring loads and picking up PB’s along the way
With Messi and Ronaldo ageing he is going to be the papers star for a while until the next big thing comes along
