Calculating expected career dividends

  • Hi guys,

    Can anyone share a good method for calculating expected career dividends? This is to help when valuing a player.

    I'm currently taking xDivs ('expected dividends' metric from IndexGain) and MB divs for this season (80% complete), extrapolating these numbers to 100%, and multiplying the number career years remaining assuming retirement at 33. Whatever this number is, I then calculate the % vs the current buy price.

    This overly simplistic approach ignores div increases, changes in performance levels with age, number of games and competitions etc.

    Just wondering if anyone has some tips?


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