Calculating expected career dividends



  • Hi guys,

    Can anyone share a good method for calculating expected career dividends? This is to help when valuing a player.

    I'm currently taking xDivs ('expected dividends' metric from IndexGain) and MB divs for this season (80% complete), extrapolating these numbers to 100%, and multiplying the number career years remaining assuming retirement at 33. Whatever this number is, I then calculate the % vs the current buy price.

    This overly simplistic approach ignores div increases, changes in performance levels with age, number of games and competitions etc.

    Just wondering if anyone has some tips?

    Cheers


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