Jadon sancho



  • @Andy-M indeed, just look at Mahrez price or even B Silva's. Just too much competition at City, their players are mostly poor for PB wins.



  • @NewUser162554 yup, I'll give it a miss for now at least.



  • @Andy-M said in Jadon sancho:

    Sorry to say but he won't be going to any big club apart from Manchester city, they have a buy back clause on him and will not want to see him in a different shirt, so yes big club move, playing time not so big ... seriously hope he stays at Dortmund though, he can definitely fly in price there.. not holding because I'm worried about the high price coming too soon.

    He left Man City because he didn't see himself playing there. Their buy back clause is irrelevant if he doesn't want to go back there and given he had the confidence to walk out of there when he was an unproven youth player I imagine he's got the confidence to say no to going back now he's establishing himself at a top European club.

    He doesn't actually need to move anywhere to bump his price anyway, he just needs the speculation it will happen. Media buzz is one of the key things that drives price on FI. Young players are also a premium, as are England internationals. Sancho ticks all of those boxes and if he is as good a player as the stats suggest he will have a great chance to hit the odd PB dividend win too.

    I'd say he's a potential £10 player.



  • @Yellow potential is the word, the only way he'll reach £10 is staying in Dortmund, and as i stated in my previous comment, i hope he does just that.. I just don't want to risk so much on an 18 year old until he's proven himself for a sustained period... Mbappe for example... another thing that puts me off is i can see him being more of an assist king than a goal scoring machine, and assists mean jack on FI unfortunately.



  • I had 150 sanchos and sold 100 of them at £5.50 as I too think that his price will drop in the short term after the internationals.
    When you compare him to established players like sterling and sane he seems to be around a quid over priced.
    I would have expected to see him at the same level as Maddison.

    I will definatly be looking to get some more of him in early November after his price drops again.



  • @Advinculas-Index

    I think you've done the right thing.

    It always better to be ahead of the curve - i.e. sell when others are still buying or buy before others have started buying. In my experience the worst time to buy a player is in the middle of a media hype bubble, like now.

    When Pogba was circa £14.60, there was no shortage of posters pushing him as the first £20 player, etc. All an astute trader had to do was recognise the hype and wait. One week later Pogba dipped down to circa £12.70, providing a nice opportunity to buy-in for anyone who wanted to do so.

    I'd be surprised if there isn't a similar dip for Sancho at some point between now and Christmas.



  • He is currently the third highest mid on the index, utter madness, based on a couple of assists for Dortmund, he might win a bit of buzz if he does well for England but after that expect a massive drop.



  • Agh, once again if only you could “short” on here!



  • @NewUser60527 said in Jadon sancho:

    He is currently the third highest mid on the index, utter madness, based on a couple of assists for Dortmund, he might win a bit of buzz if he does well for England but after that expect a massive drop.

    I think there is a key thing here - he's the 13th most expensive player on the index. That obviously doesn't happen by chance, I doubt there is a big pump and dump operation here, and it doesn't matter if he's only worth £3 if people are happy to pay almost £6 for him. I'm braced for a drop after the international break but I'm trying to diversify my portfolio a bit and I see him as a solid long term hold.



  • I'd say his price is high as he ticks so many boxes at once

    • starting games now for a very in form Dortmund side who look like they could give out a few hammerings and rack up PB
    • champions league
    • MB around the England call up and games
    • transfer spec
    • young, potential
    • 'future of England'
    • Man City backstory

    Etc etc.

    I take your point on assists but they can help when you start to rack them up. Think Depay won a few divs last year through multiple assists iirc.



  • @Indexical
    Not to say he won't necessarily drop a bit, I don't know , but it does seem rational that his price would be high



  • @Indexical said in Jadon sancho:

    I'd say his price is high as he ticks so many boxes at once

    • starting games now for a very in form Dortmund side who look like they could give out a few hammerings and rack up PB
    • champions league
    • MB around the England call up and games
    • transfer spec
    • young, potential
    • 'future of England'
    • Man City backstory

    Etc etc.

    I take your point on assists but they can help when you start to rack them up. Think Depay won a few divs last year through multiple assists iirc.

    Agree completely and I think the 'young' criteria is key. Everybody wants the next big thing. Stuani is 31 and already has 8 goals in La Liga. He's 81p. If he was 21 with those stats then I'm sure he'd be 4/5 times the price. The fact that Sancho is English just adds a further premium.

    What's interesting though is that those disagreeing will no doubt be making good profits themselves and I think it shows the many different ways of making gains on the index.



  • worst case he drops a quid or two but best case for me he doubles (and more) in value....

    Sancho is a young star that is regularly playing in one of the world's toughest leagues and if ze germans are running lyrics over him that's also good enough for me as they tend to stay quite reserved until otherwise proven and they haven't been too bad a judges when it comes to footballers over the last 30 years or so!!!

    YES the English factor is also worth a quid or two more so he might be a little higher priced within comparables but with higher risks = higher rewards and I think long term, a potentially world class English youngster can only go one way 'IF' his form continues!!



  • I invested in Jadon at around £2.40ish.
    The beauty of these players playing abroad is that they generally go under the radar until they of course get recognised internationally or get picked up for a move. There will be plenty of rumours regarding Sancho and transfers over the next 12 months. The boy has talent and sometimes you have to pinch yourself that he's only 18. Add to the fact he's exciting to watch just adds to the hype. I see no reason at all why he can't hit the dizzy heights of £10 over the incoming years and for me he's one of my long term holds that I refuse to sell.



  • Pretty much same here, but released 100 shares when he got to £5.50, but kept 50
    Eventually he could well turn out to be the next Ronaldo an become a £15 player, however there is bound to be a period in the not too distant future where he wont be "flavour of the month" and consistently delivering match winning assists etc, especially given his tender age.
    I think he will drop back down at some point in the next couple of weeks to around the same level as Madison and Foden
    It will be at this point that i will lump back in on him.



  • A lot of Sancho’s value comes from the anticipation of the inevitable transfer saga. I’ve held Sancho from £1.04 simply because I just know he’ll eventually be linked with a move back to England just for playing half decent. The same applies for Reiss Nelson at Hoffenheim and Ronaldo Vieira once he starts getting games for Sampdoria.

    When Sancho plays regularly and scores a few, and Man Utd’s chief scout is spotted in Dortmund, then absolutely no doubt the media will be talking up a £100m English teenager for weeks and months.

    Hype = future MB = price rise now. It’s fairly easy to predict on English youngsters, particularly those playing abroad. I don’t fully get why people are so dismissive of taking an early position on a future asset.



  • Im gambling on the fact that the £2 surge he has had over the space of 10 days leaves his current price exposed to a significant correction in the not too distant future as he seems to be over £1 higher than those you could argue fall into the same category.
    Namely Madison/Mount/Foden.

    only Time will tell



  • @playingcards1

    Don't over look Keanen Bennett's.
    He looks a great prospect too



  • @Comrade

    I don’t hold Bennetts but he absolutely falls into the same category.



  • @playingcards1

    So ask yourself (with a limited budget i.e. 99% of FI punters) would you rather have 1 Sancho or 5 Bennetts? Which will return the biggest gain over the medium term?

    If we can accept each players ability as given, then he can be a buy @£1, hold @£2-3 or sell @£5 irrespective of his future long term prospects. Pure unemotional trading instinct says sell Sancho & buy Bennett at current prices, even if Sancho were to double from here Bennett is still probably a better buy, because if he doubled to £2 he would probably still rate as a buy.


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