Pogba, Hold or sell



  • The likeliest outcome with the bookies has gone back to him staying at evens, he drifted to 2/1 to stay on Sunday as the news broke. Let's say the odds actually are 50/50 on him staying, you're getting a great price on Pogba right now. If he stays he goes to £8.50+ and wins loads of media madness dividends, if he leaves he goes to around £6.00 winning loads of dividends again. The potential gains significantly outweigh the potential losses at this point in my opinion.

    Edit, 8/11 odds to stay now a few hours later.



  • @Nally said in Pogba, Hold or sell:

    The likeliest outcome with the bookies has gone back to him staying at evens, he drifted to 2/1 to stay on Sunday as the news broke. Let's say the odds actually are 50/50 on him staying, you're getting a great price on Pogba right now. If he stays he goes to £8.50+ and wins loads of media madness dividends, if he leaves he goes to around £6.00 winning loads of dividends again. The potential gains significantly outweigh the potential losses at this point in my opinion.

    What are you basing that £6.00 guess on?



  • @Dan-The-Man on him being the all time leader of dividends won and being a good age still at 26, I still think he'd be a media magnet and a strong PB player. If hazard is £4.50 after his move is sealed I think it's fair to argue that a player who's won over twice the amount of his all time dividends and is over 2 years younger should be around £1.50 more.



  • 0_1560866303168_upload-eac3c6c7-83ac-4b0e-80f2-d23fdb3b7568



  • @Ellisandro

    Did you create that just for me.

    Aw dude, that's so sweet.

    But er... no.



  • @ScouseSte Just a point about the Hazzard price

    It's not a bad theory actually - I predicted something similar about Hazard and since he signed on the dotted line for Madrid he actually ROSE in price (contrary to many predictions).

    Not sure about his price rising since his transfer to Madrid.

    26/5 . £4.83 . Chelsea player
    13/6 . £4.58 . Unveiled at Madrid
    Todays price . £4.39.

    Unless I have missed something that is a steady decline, where is the rise?



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  • @Long-Haul-Col said in Pogba, Hold or sell:

    @ScouseSte Just a point about the Hazzard price

    It's not a bad theory actually - I predicted something similar about Hazard and since he signed on the dotted line for Madrid he actually ROSE in price (contrary to many predictions).

    Not sure about his price rising since his transfer to Madrid.

    26/5 . £4.83 . Chelsea player
    13/6 . £4.58 . Unveiled at Madrid
    Todays price . £4.39.

    Unless I have missed something that is a steady decline, where is the rise?

    Initially rose.

    He's now falling, as expected, in line with most players who are also non-active in competitive games and not involved in transfer speculation.

    My point was, his "crash" happened in the 4 weeks leading up to the transfer and not the second he put pen to paper - this is similar to Pogba I suspect



  • @Dan-The-Man said in Pogba, Hold or sell:

    @Ellisandro

    Did you create that just for me.

    Aw dude, that's so sweet.

    But er... no.

    Nope just generally, you've not made 400 posts on this have you? I'm not sure who's left on the fence though? Those who hold will hold, those who sold have sold. Nuff said.



  • @Ellisandro

    We shouldn't treat this like it's a set in stone situation.

    Market circumstances change on a constant basis as should our views on weather or not a player is worth buying when more information is made available.

    For example, @Nally 's, point about Hazard, isn't completely without merit. (Though I suspect he's judging things a little prematurely and not entirely factoring in Man Utd's role in Pogba's hold on the media.)



  • @Dan-The-Man Agreed, i think my brexit weariness has just rubbed of on this topic.

    I sold mine early (months back) and won't look to buy back in as until he's at pre-season he's a flaky mofo!



  • On top of the MB again now. Could be the 4th day on the bounce! :D



  • @Cadbury1 choo choo!!



  • Just revealed that his desired location is Juventus over Real Madrid according to sky in Italy



  • @Vespasian32

    Your Pulisic comment earlier made me think about this exchange from earlier in this thread, where I said...

    "300 x Pogba = 1455 Pulisic
    If Pulisic goes up 20%... Pogba has to double his value. I know which one seems more likely to me."

    To which you replied...

    "defo 300 Pogba"

    This was just before Pogba peaked at £8.36, back when Pulisic was around the £1.40 price point.

    If you were to IS Pogba right now, it would have cost you £2 per share. If you were to IS Pulisic right now you'd be up over 60p.

    So... Let's see just how wrong you were.

    300 x -£2 = -£600
    1455 x 60p = £873

    Which means you were wrong to the tune of £1473. Oh wait. Silly me... I forgot you've won 39p worth of dividends...

    0.39 x 300 = £117 (impressive)

    So that means you were wrong to the tune of £1356

    Just saying!

    :)



  • @Dan-The-Man haha you say like your timeliness are the only ones that exist... If you say I said that before pogba spiked... What makes you think I would hold? I don't have pogba... I made over £1000 on him and sold after the split. I'd take 300 pogba over Pulisic any day of the week tho. Even now. But remember it's a 3 year hold and can sell at any point in that 3 years.. Not just when it suits you. In the time you've had Pulisic I more than doubled my money on vanaken, El Ghazi and murgia. I also bought 1000 neymar at 6.92... If u want to dig up the neymar thread... That was about 3 weeks ago... Showing as £190 divs won but I think some of that reappeared from a previous hold of him so don't know how much is from the last couple weeks but he's had mb every day this week i think. And 34p cap ap... £340.
    Not sure you ever put your money where your mouth is or make people money? Just tell people who not to buy?



  • @Vespasian32 said in Pogba, Hold or sell:

    @Dan-The-Man If you say I said that before pogba spiked... What makes you think I would hold?

    It was the day or so before his crash that you made that post and the other 20 posts you made... after his initial crash is what makes me think you'd have held. I mean... you literally made posts in this thread... after the crash, saying why you'd held and that you believe he "wouldn't go lower than £7.50" lol. (Ah, the beauty of forums)

    Not that it even matters. Pick whatever timeline you want... 300 Pogba vs 1455 Pulisic.... Pogba was the wrong call because Pulisic has risen by over 40%... so even if you were lucky enough to time it spot on and get out at Pogba's peak, you'd have been all of 3% up instead of 40% up.



  • Pulisic on loan to vitesse by jan



  • @Dan-The-Man said in Pogba, Hold or sell:

    @Vespasian32

    Bought a few when I first joined at the end of December and keep using dividends to buy more. This bit of growth has come earlier than I anticipated to be honest.

    0_1556017159209_Screen Shot 2019-04-23 at 11.58.57.png

    My plan is to have 300 by end of season and 600 before next season

    Last time you asked me if I put my money where my mouth is, I showed you the above post. Then as I said... I topped up to the 300 bringing his average up

    0_1561243686515_Screen Shot 2019-06-22 at 23.47.21.png

    What price did you get out of Pogba?



  • Wow, I bought ,you bought, I posted this you posted that, 😴 The only thing that really matters is either buy him or don't. If you do and lose money live with it, if you don't he doesn't matter to you as you have no money on him.


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