For those who might find this useful.
Following on the recent Podcast with @The-FIG I've researched the best goal scoring defenders from last season and posted them on google docs below.
Please note - this excludes players with less than 5 appearances and only includes their league games, excluding the CL, EL and WC (Yerry Mina is a prime example of course).
I've randomly included a few names from the Championship, Liga Nos and Eredivisie - ones that I've seen articles on, recently transferred and promoted players.
The sample is only taken over one season and not the more helpful historical data so it's highly likely some may have just had a hot streak.
Disclaimer : Yes I own a fair few of these but there''s way too many to buy them all and will avoid stating which so to avoid a PnD accusation or two :-)
Hope this helps and please remember I'm not a data provider like @Noirx4 or Index Edge so it is what it is and won't be worked on for improvement :-)
Been a bit quiet recently but it's hard to find the motivation to do a write up when faced with a herd full of players that are never going to grace the top 5 leagues. Can't blame FI for that as they've stuck to their promise of getting all WC players onto the Index and in the process I'm sure masses of you have an unknown lurking if your PF's ready to hopefully rocket!!
So on to tomorrow; where we see an influx of talent coming in.
First up on the list is a youngster getting rave reviews at Liverpool called Curtis Jones, "the next Stevie G" tag is being touted about and from what I can see from limited information he could be Index gold being a goalscoring all action midfielder. I think there will be enough Liverpool fans on the Index to ensure 40p will no doubt double and maybe more tomorrow morning.
West Ham have finally seen sense and got rid of Schmoyes and his whacky Evra investments and have turned to Spurs old boy Ryan Fredericks, a pacy fullback coming in at 50p. It's a little high to get excited about but Declan Rice's price of 76p should be a decent gauge.
Ignoring the keeper we then have Kevin Long from Burnley, the Europa League and their hardened defence is something not to be ignored, he does have an eye for goal so based on that I'd suggest benchmarking him above 70p mark of Ben Mee.
Next up is Sorloth the new Striker at Palace, with Benteke's exclusion from Belgium's WC squad and what appears to be a slowly diminishing career can Sorloth steal his Thunder. Not sure on this guy really, he seemed very willing when he played against us near the end of the season but didn't show that much quality imo.
That brings us up to the Lunchtime batch and hold on to your seatbelts as we have Rodrygo coming on at 80p, seems a pretty steep starting price BUT if you look at Vinicius Junior's price of £2.39 it show's that traders are dying to get their hands on the next Neymar. I expect a frenzy on him tomorrow.
Arsenal's new 6ft 4 defender, Mavropanos at 60p first of all appears quite high but he earned rave reviews vs Utd and if Emery like's the look of him that will most certainly rise in due course. Eevn Chambers is 70p and Mavropanos has hit 3 goals in 16 games for his previous side albeit at a much lower standard.
I'm sadly old enough to remember George Weah in his pomp and if his US international son is even half the player he was, then 50p will be a steal. He started a game for PSG at the end of last season and I'm not sure who their cheapest attacking force is but I'm confident it's much higher than 50p, expecting a huge rocket here.
If Diego Dalot IPO'd a few weeks ago I dare say he'd limp in at 20p with no buyers, roll on a few weeks and up steps Mourinho heaping praise on their new purchase. It's hard to gauge his value on such limited data but early indications suggest he could amongst the goals, especially if Utd start playing more attacking football. I suspected he might IPO about 60p and suspect he'll settle around the 80 to 90p mark.
Ante Coric has been labelled as better than Modric and Kovacic at the equivalent time in their career's, don't know a great deal about him and given that he didn't make the Croatian WC Squad I'm surprised his IPO price is as high as 70p, however he's got a Wonderkid tag so we'll probably see him rise.
Fulham being interested in Southampton's Matt Targett isn't enough to wow me coming in at 50p although he can play further up the pitch which could be a positive.
One stark warning to people chasing the next big thing could be in the shape of Martin Odegaard, remember him? He's not long broken a metatarsal and hasn't looked close to breaking through at Real so a bit of a strange IPO really.
For 10p less you could pick up Sergio Gomez, stolen from Barca he's now being nurtured at Dortmund in a similar way to our own Jadon Sancho. High hopes on this guy but you won't see him in action til 2019 I believe.
If you're after someone for this season coming rather than next then Lebo Mothiba could be more appealing, finished the season well with Lille and could be a force for them come August/September, 60p seems a bit pricey though.
Finally we have Matheus Fernandes, a 19 yr old playing for Botafogo, someone's clearly requested this guy but 1 goal in 52 games for Botafogo isn't going to make waves in the world of FI for me, especially at 50p.
Enjoy the chaos tomorrow all! It's gonna be a wild ride!
Unless you've been sleeping under a rock for the past 2 or 3 months you know full well there's another SS on the horizon, but who are the most likely to benefit from this?
Mathematically it "should" be business as usual HOWEVER the truth is the current dividend structure simply doesn't lend itself to a neat division whatever number you use, unless you're happy to mess around with decimals which in my opinion looks shoddy.
In turn, the big AC has stated that they will be as generous as they can be when re-evaluating the new payout structure, so we know for certain (well 99%) that there will be changes and the number of maintenance windows being used would back that up.
So, if you believe anything you read you'll probably be as convinced as I am that a War Chest is being held back to react to the new dividends when they are announced on Monday the 18th March. It's important to note, if you're new to the platform, that announcements move the market even if the implementation is days or weeks away.
Which means that (unless every dividend category is increased by the same %, which is highly unlikely) there will be certain types of players that will rocket when the Market is reopened (I think I've read 2 hours after the announcement - but I might have dreamt that one!).
So the question is who and why!
To answer this you should try and put yourself in FI's shoes, without bragging I managed to do this during the last announcement and made 8k from second guessing that FI would introduce some value to Goalkeepers, which turned out to be the Clean Sheet Dividend.
So what do FI really want? If we take the Spread out of the conversation for a moment, we're left with their lifeblood - 2% commission (along with Happy Customers, which most of us are with such a brilliant concept!). In this sense nothing makes them (and us if we get it right) more money than mass volatility. "Will he, won't he" transfer news and injuries are a great source of this but the new mechanism of in-play dividends (IPD) stimulates trading rather than sitting on a hold for 3 years waiting for the divs to drip in so my guess would be that; FI, without detriment to their core principles of PB and MB, will encourage more trading in this area than any other.
Now take into consideration the amount of money invested in Media Cash Cow's like Pogba and Neymar, making changes that would significantly weaken the value of the top players would no doubt cause uproar with traders who have majorly invested in them based on existing dividends, so I firmly believe that FI will also increase the dividends available in this area too but not quite as much.
The water here get's slightly mirky if you read into Mike Bohan's tweet asking whether Media should be opened up to the Squad! Plus, during testing there seems to be a suggestion that Media may also become tiered during Match Days too. Put simply, Pogba would theoretically be worth even more as it's highly likely that he'd make the top 3 on a ridiculous basis.
Where does this leave PB?, my favourite mechanic on the platform (and I'm sure for many others too). Well it can't be neglected that's for sure as it would alienate a huge chunk of their customer base so I suspect they have plans to improve this area here too.
Reading the above probably suggests that "everyone's a winner" and we all know there must be losers as reserved war chests will not be the only source of investment. A huge amount of money will also be moved from one type to another, we're not all millionaires with spare cash to burn.
After writing all of the above I won't finish off without making my own predictions and I'm being honest in saying I haven't loaded up on certain players prior to writing this (certainly not 10k splashed on keepers like last time.)
I think the losers will be the youth and that doesn't actually mean they'll crash, just that I don't think they'll benefit from a rise driven by the announcement (unless FI do something right outside of the box).
The big winners? in the main I think it'll be very spread out BUT I think that the area that made me a fortune last time could strike twice. We saw that Alisson, when in the top 200, was a media whore, the huge transfer fee helped but GK heroics certainly grab headlines. So IF IF IF they do open it up to the Squad then I think some well known keepers could be really valuable. If they increase the CS payments as part of the IPD then we could see them getting even more value.
That's my 2 pence, I'm not loaded up on them like before and just an opinion. It's gonna be a very interesting day regardless!
Today's IPO's run over 2 slots, 10-12 and 12-14 which I'm sure pleases everyone.
I'll make it brief as they're only 45 mins away.
Relegated with Malaga last season which isn't always a bad thing if they're a star player. I don't see much value compared to the likes of El Kaabi (yeah I know I rave about him but hey).
Han Kwang Song
The one and only North Korean superstar, PB eligible with Cagliari and ripped it up with Perugia on loan last season. Reports suggest he's nailed on for Juve as Spurs, Liverpool and Arsenal "were" put off by the political tension. However now that Trumpy boy and Slim Kim have kissed and made up could that potentially open the door to pastures new. I expect a flyer here.
PB eligible with Werder Bremen and the Yanks have big hopes with this guy along with Timothy Weah. Only 18 with great work ethic and an eye for goal. Once again 50p a snip, I don't expect him to reach Weah heights due to Bremen not being PSG nor having an Ancestral DemiGod but he should hit the 80p-1.00 mark
At Roma but a Dutch defender this side of the WC who doesn't bag many goals isn't somone I'd be desperate to buy, especially being released at the same time as the others.
Another one of Chelsea's multi-loan kids who's now actually 24. He could well stay with promoted Fulham this year which is a 50/50 result depending on which way you look at it. Either way, Brazilian waiting to blossom with a decent rep will ensure he gets snapped up but wouldn't like to say how high.
Promising youngster, didn't make the Swiss WC squad but was linked to Arsenal last month. Another steady riser for me - 70p-ish at a guess.
Young Argentine striker wanted by Inter, we've seen a few like this recently and all tend to launch like Buzz Lightyear.
Gabigol, the next big thing, well he was when purchased for mega money 2 years ago. Still registered with Inter but didn't quite fire at first attempt but has been playing well again since and determined to make his mark. Not sure if it's the Batigol inspired nickname or the "new Neymar" tag but for some reason he sends out subliminal messages of "buy me now". Although I'm not convinced by him; we saw yesterday with Odegaard that it doesn't really matter if you haven't come good yet as long as the potential is still there.
This boy is today's big shout, everything about him screams Index Gold, goalscoring midfielder with imminent links to City and the other Euro Giants. Get on board if you can.
Marco van Ginkel
PSV have seen this boy evolve into a real player this year, you'd imagine Chelsea would give him a crack after the season he's had but we all know they won't. They want 10m for him which I don't think is too bad in this day and age but the Dutch clubs aren't rolling in cash so I suspect he'll end up at a richer PB eligible club in the near future. His stats are made for FI and it'll be interesting to see how the market perceives him today.
This Preview is not intended to make the purchasing of IPO's any easier, simply to guide people on the players background and potential value. Please refrain from moaning on this thread if you can't get them at the prices you want
IPO's are back with a bang tomorrow folks.
First of all forgive me for ignoring both keepers as I'm firmly of the opinion that they're more or less worthless outside of the top 200.
We have a mixed back of breakthrough stars and young potential so will take them in turn.
Colin Dagba - Played LB for PSG in their last 2 games, "probably" just keeping that place warm for Felipe Luis or A N Other but it's so early in Tuchel's reign that we don't know that for certain. I can't see any evidence of a goal threat BUT he's only 70p so I expect him to attract some attention, even though I don't think he's a Prime PB contender.
Matteo Guendouzi - Seen a lot of traders asking for this guy to be IPO'd but I think they'll be bitterly disappointed at the starting price of £1.20. I don't see any evidence of multiple goals in a season so in my opinion shouldn't be worth more than Henderson or Matic who play similar roles at currently higher profile clubs. There's been enough interest that he'll probably rise but I wouldn't recommend buying him myself.
Odsonne Edouard - Now here we could have a real baller on our hands. You can't argue that Brendan Rodgers has had some world class strikers under his stewardship and he rates this kid massively. His goal record is eye watering and if he lights up the Scottish or Europa League we could see a big money move as soon as January or next summer. I suspect he may well double in value tomorrow.
Ryan Gauld - Trying to break into Lisbon's first team at the moment and I can't see any sign of him being a World Beater although could be wrong. Maybe one for the most speculative of youth hunters.
Aaron Wan-Bissaka - The IPO timing for this kid is spot on, like Guendouzi I can't see much of a goal threat but the available stats are limited. We've seen Full-backs go through the roof over the past week or so and although I think £1 is a high IPO I wouldn't be surprised if the hype creates a lot of trading in him.
Alphonso Davies - The hype continues but with the added bonus that Bayern have bought this Canadian wonderkid and he's joining them in January. With limited data I decided to watch a quick video and wasn't blown away with what I saw but he did show glimpses of flamboyance and speed. I'd have liked to seen him IPO at 70-80p but he'll still probably race away. Hard to say for sure as we're dealing with a different trader market these days.
Emile Smith-Rowe - I had to take my Spurs blinkers off on this and I think Arsenal could well have a decent player on their hands here, once again limited data but he's quite prolific from midfield from what I can see and I'd have rather have him in my PF than Wan-Bissaka or Guendouzi who are 20p more.
Aleix Garcia - Couldn't see anything with this City loanee that makes me think I need to get in on his early.
David Hancko - This young CB is VERY interesting, time will tell on how much time he gets with Fiorentina but his goal record is an impressive 14 goals in 80 which cannot be ignored. There's a few goalscoring defenders that I feel are incredible value around the 70-90p range which I feel should be at least around the £1.50 mark and make 70p a great IPO price but until that transpires this kid might be better in your watch list until he nails down a place.
Keanan Bennetts - Putting my Spurs blinkers back on, a lot of our fans were NOT happy with this kid leaving us, he speaks well and is Bi-Lingual so should fit in straight away over in Germany, read a bundesliga report where they think they've picked up the next Gareth Bale due to his speed and power. He has a great goal record and although it might take him some time to establish himself I think they've got a great youngster on their hands. Compared to some youngsters he could be FI Gold within the next 12 months and 70p could represent great value.
Michael Cuisance - 10p more than Keanan but I couldn't really find any tangible reason why that would be the case - happy for people ITK to correct me on him??
Musa Barrow - Atalanta have some very creative talent in their support roles and now they appear to have a player who knows how to finish their chances, add this to their Europa League participation providing they progress and I think we have tomorrow's shining light. Seen a lot of requests for this guy to IPO and there's good money to be made if you can get in early enough.
Please note that the above review is aimed at giving an insight as to what value each player may offer in the short or long term. IPO's are notoriously difficult to buy at the cheapest prices especially when in high demand by thousands of traders so please refrain from moaning on this thread if you are unable to see the players at the cheapest prices.
We seem to have a thread for every Squad on the system so thought it might be good to have one where just Star PB Men and Dark Horses are suggested for quick reference. It'll be interesting to spot any common unknown names cropping up. (please excuse the formatting and I know some aren't that obscure!)
Egypt Salah, Trezeguet
Russia Smolov, Golovin
Saudi Arabia Al-Sahlawi, Al-Muwallad
Uruguay Torreira, Nandez
Iran Jahanbaksh, Azmoun
Morocco Harit, El Kaabi
Portugal Bruno Fernandez, Ruben Dias
Spain Alcantara, Odriozola
Australia Leckie, Arzani
France Griezmann, Sidibe
Peru Guerrero, Cueva
Denmark Eriksen, Dolberg
Argentina Messi, Pavon
Iceland Sigurdsson, Gudmundsson
Croatia Rakitic, Bradaric
Nigeria Obi Mikel, Etebo
Brazil Neymar, Jesus
Switzerland Shaqiri, Embolo
Costa Rica Borges, Campbell
Serbia Kolarov, Milinkovic-Savic
Germany Kroos, Plattenhardt
Mexico Lozano, Fabian
Sweden Forsberg, Hiljemark
South Korea Son, Hee-Chan
Belgium Hazard, Meunier
England Trippier, Loftus-Cheek
Tunisia Khazri, Skhiri
Panama R Torres, Diaz
Poland Zielinski, Milik
Senegal Mane, Mbodji
Colombia James, Uribe
Japan Honda, Osako
@ocs123 How can that be disingenuous when "a lot" is completely subjective?
I'm not going to argue with you as it's obviously a sore subject for you but the amount of people that signed up 2 days ago and whinge about IPO's, like they should have a god given right to be at the front of the queue when the shop opens is quite frankly annoying.
Whether I write this reviews or not the IPO's are NOT in any shape or form going to appear and rise slowly for people to cherry pick the best prices, the amount of complaining makes me feel like saying "do you know what, don't read the thread or do you're own ****** research"
@NewUser61465 this is no different to a journalist doing a quick write up on each team and is completely subjective.
If you spend enough time on Twitter and to a lesser extent the forum, you'll soon get tired of people eulogising over one of their holds because they're desperate for others to buy and then jump off the train with a little bit of cash.
For me personally I do okay in life and it's not all about personal gain, I'm certainly not a hippy but if I can help someone else make a bit of money by offering some free help then what's the issue.
For those of you who research your own players you probably came across the same issues as me when it comes to Ligue 2 teams and their players. WHAT A CHORE!
The 2 Division in Germany seems a smidgen easier because at least some websites preview their promoted teams for the season ahead.
So given the above, I couldn't really see the point in writing anything in depth surrounding Reims or Nimes despite their promising start to the season, although I did come across a few things.
Reims sold their most promising young goal machine, in Theoson-Jordan Siebatcheu, to Rennes (so let's have him IPO'd please FI @FI_Alex ). It's a great move for Rennes based on their top scorer only bagging 5 goals last season so they're desperate for a striker.
They do possess a Goal Scoring defender in Yunis Abdelhamid who hasn't risen much so there's potentially a post-IPO bargain available there although his goals need to match up with wins, GWG and Clean Sheets of course.
Nimes had the top scoring striker last year in promising French-Turk youngster Umut Bozok, he didn't burst out at IPO but did see a postponed rise later in the day. The market appeared to opt for the higher priced Thioub and Ripart who scored goals in the first 3 games, which in my opinion could be a little short sighted although time will tell.
If I was to pick any of their players other than Bozok I'd actually opt for Teji Savanier, scores goals and appears to be their go to man on set-pieces.
Now onto Fortuna Dusseldorf today. Ironically they have Germany's 2nd Divsion Equivalent to Umut Bozok in Marvin Ducksch, he topped the charts (for St Pauli) last season and I think they're both 22. So coming on at 60p "should" see him settle around the 84p mark (famous last words). FD's defender's like to get on the ball from the number of passes they strung together vs Augsburg even though they lost.
They've actually lost their star man from last year, Florian Neuhaus (a goalscoring CDM so let's have him also IPO'd please FI @FI_Alex ) to Munch Gladbach which leaves their star man role to 22 yr old Belgian starlet, Benito Raman. He might sound like a pack of noodles but he's a goalscoring wide man however FI have noticed this and priced him at £1. If I could find some transfer hype around this kid then he could fly but didn't notice anything.
So in a nutshell with regards today you should be safe going for old Ducky boy and if you're into pricey youngsters like most traders then you might be tempted with some Raman Noodles.
Finally, keep an eye open for Florian Neuhaus and Theoson Siebatchu when they eventually IPO!!
@The-FIG has kindly invited me to partake in one of his Podcasts over the next couple of weeks and we'd like to know what burning subjects you guys would be most interested in.
Of course IPO research will be one area I'm happy to chew the fat on and I think it should draw more attention to the forum, the interesting discussions we have on here and promote it's value to newcomers that might think it's all about Twitter.
So what floats your boat Folks?
Tomorrow brings us an array of talent from far and away, young and established.
The stand out bargain is surely Ethan Ampadu, Chelsea's latest Valderama look-a-like who they believe will be their next David Luiz at the back. He earned rave reviews against Everton and Bournemouth and according to Conte will start tonight's game against Norwich alongside Luiz. So as long as he doesn't have a disaster this evening he could well rocket beyond Declan Rice's price based on a higher profile club.
Antonin Barak is one I've been secretly waiting for, only 23 but has goals, assists and a better AvgPPG than his teammate Lasagna who's also bagging plenty of goals for Udinese, they're flying and you could use De Paul and Jankto as decent benchmark's for this guy so expect him to break 90p and if he doesn't then fill your boots at the cheap price. Coming in at 60p.
Hamari Traore is way too expensive compared with his better priced teammates Andre and Bourigeaud @ Rennes (both excellent buys IMO).
18 yr old Sead Haksabanovic @ West Ham looks like an excellent prospect earning comparisons to Lanzini. At 40p I expect a 50% increase from him.
Salif Sane seems to knock 2 goals in every year and has decent passing stats @ Hannover. I don't think he's a bad buy at 70p but I'd like to see some more interest from the bigger clubs as he's now 27 before predicting a big rise from that price.
Then we have 3 Brazilians, Rafinha looks destined for Inter and bagged 1 in 4 for Barca B so he knows where the net. It looks like they'll be buying him to start games rather than squad fodder so I should imagine we'll see a few people back him tentatively to begin with as his PB baseline isn't easy to judge just yet.
Fred and Bernard are both high quality players but they're out of league for FI purposes, yes they'll probably make the World Cup squad and they're still in the CL (unless Fred goes to City and becomes cuptied) but 80 and 90p starting prices are slightly elevated based on a rumour to City for Fred and Bernard simply being a great footballer.
For me I'm opting for the West Ham and Chelsea youngsters with a sprinkling of Barak, then see how much cash I've got left for the Brazilian Triumvirate and maybe Salif Sane!
All in all it should be a good day!!
Just a quick write up on this as short on time but may go into further detail in the morning.
In a nutshell thank **** they've finally loaded the plethora of lackustre overpriced promoted junk onto the system and back onto introducing players people actually want to buy.
Joelinton appears to have nailed down a starting berth at CL participants Hoffenheim after bagging a trick vs Kaiserslautern in the German Cup.
Liverpool and Spurs youngsters Ryan Kent and Luke Amos will no doubt attract a crowd.
Falcao has been singing the praises of Alfredo Morelos as the Colombian heir to his throne and like Kent we should see plenty of him in the EL this season with Rangers.
Moussa Diaby is the third of PSG's breakthrough strikeforce alongside Nkunku and Weah so I suspect he'll hit the 1.70 mark and with Mbappe suspended for 3 games, CL prioritisation and Weah conspicuously absent inn the last few games I suspect Diaby and Nkunku will be called upon as early as Friday night!!
Then there's Raul de Tomas from Real Madrid and Segunda goal machine Jaime Mata too.
Finally there's a couple of goalscoring defenders but I think Tonelli is the better option info the same price range!!
Today's IPO's were so bad I honestly CBA'd to write a preview. However tomorrow's are far more interesting when you look under the bonnet!
For those who attended the Manchester Trader Meeting you'll remember Gary Pallister waxing lyrical over Adama Traore - "he does things I've never seen anyone else do on a pitch" big praise indeed and this year he looks like he's finally maturing. In my opinion I think he's incredibly talented and has such explosive speed going past numerous players like they weren't there; I often scratched my head how his managers couldn't get the best out of him. I read somewhere today that Villa could be inline for a 5m payout if Chelsea pay 30m for him. So I suspect he's EPL bound whether that be with Boro via the playoff's or via a big Xfer. So at 60p I really think this boy will fly tomorrow and I think he'll double in price at least.
From the rest I've picked out a few that I think are definitely worth a punt considering their very low prices.
Jefferson Farfan, seems like he's been around a very long time, he's Peru's star man but given his age I wouldn't expect him to fetch a massive price however he's just won the Russian League with Lokomotiv and I am 99% sure they're automatically in the CL group stage, so unlike some of the Aussie's, you're looking at a minimum of 9 games where he could well deliver decent ROI on his tiny IPO of 30p.
There's a few from RB Salzburg's EL Semi Finalists. For those interested in Xfer Spec Xaver Schlager has a decent rep but his stats on Whoscored for an attacking player are woeful and there's no WC for Austria. On the other hand there's 22yr old Hwang Hee-Chan, WC bound with South Korea, decent transfer links and rumours that Son wants his mate at Spurs. I haven't checked but I should imagine Salzburg have qualified for Europe again next year so this guy could well be a decent buy at 40p, especially when benchmarked to Kwang-Choon at Dijon who's risen to 67p (we all know signing the best of the Oriental players generates huge money in the far east too so a big xfer is probably likely)
Fabio Coentrao, what a player this guy has been, didn't quite work out at Real like it should have done but he's settled at Lisbon now who should be in Europe next season. I'm unsure how his starting place in the Portuguese 1st XI is looking but Guerreiro's never ending injury will enhance his chances. I don't think he's that prolific but he is a big name, I don't think he'll go unpurchased but shouldn't fly either.
Sticking to old warhorses, Ricardo Quaresma is one of the footballing worlds great mysteries, capable of the sublime but consistency his nemesis. He could either light up the World Cup or equally be oblivious throughout. He's at Besiktas with Pepe and you could argue that the same points above that they have the WC and Europe next year but I think there's far better options in the Portuguese ranks (IF they make the squad) so don't think they're worth buying myself.
Ciman might make the WC squad with Belgium but I don't think he'll get much game time and won't be scoring any points next season.
This is where I now contradict myself with Renato Augusto, yes he's old and yes he plays in China... however he is whether you like it or not a goalscoring pivotal permanent fixture in Brazil's first XI. I read a nice article on Samba Foot that RA is not Brazil's best player but he is probably their most indispensable. So, considering Brazil could well win the WC can you ignore a player who I'm sure will score high PB, knows where the net is and likely to play every minute for 40p. I think he is a very good short term bet (could get a xfer to the PL with a decent showing but that's just clutching at straws).
Finally Limbombe, a promising Belgian youngster, recent report of a 13m battle between Soton and Huddersfield for him. If he stays at Bruges I suspect he'll have the safety net of European football next season so at 30p could well be a decent long term bet.
So to summarise, Jefferson Farfan, Hwang Hee-Chan, Adama, Renato Augusto and Anthony Limbombe all represent good value tomorrow in my opinion.
It's going to be an interesting day!
Tomorrow see's the first edition of the World Cup IPO train. Before you get too excited it's Australia who are first up.
The problem with what is left of the Aussie squad is that there's not much interest in them from the FI qualifying leagues; which means you've got them for 3 games only (unless they spring a surprise and qualify from a group containing France, Peru and Denmark)
As the group games are only paying out Single PB then you're hoping for a maximum 10% ROI in the games vs Peru and Denmark (games where they're likely to be on the back foot in my opinion)
The only 2 that I can sense ANY value in whatsoever are old war horse Mile Jedinak, down as defender (but plays in Midfield) and takes penalties for the Socceroo's (bagged a hat-trick vs Honduras in their last WC qualifier) however that is based on Villa being in the Play-off's (where they'll probably lose vs Fulham in the final but that's anyone's guess!). My biggest concern is that at 33 would he be made surplus to requirements if Villa did indeed get back in the big time? At 40p the risk is minimal so he could be worth a cheeky punt but certainly won't race away.
The other tempter is Daniel Arzani, at 19 he's a skillful attacking player who's surprised some by making the preliminary squad. It sounds like he has a lot of backing and has been dubbed the next Harry Kewell. IF he makes the cut and IF he gets off the bench (their Coach is suggesting he could well make an impact as a sub) then he has a chance to showcase his talent - from that point it's then down to him. We all know that it's likely an unknown will emerge from the shadows and earn themselves a big money move - he could well be in that category.
So at 30p he's a low risk stab in the dark that some might see worth taking on.
Happy to be educated on any that I've been too dismissive of but that's my take on it.
I would investigate the possibility of a shirt sponsorship, it would be following suit for similar companies, BETonTHIS and BETonTHAT appearing on team shirts all over the place and with the actual "football" word in the title would probably prompt people to find out what it's all about.
I don't pretend to know how much these things cost and at what level team FI could pitch at but I think it will happen in the near future.
I'd also like to see Investment Vouchers being made available so when my Mum asks me what I want for Xmas I don't end up with 10 pairs of socks and deoderant/shower gel set from Boots! Although Insigne is a little bit close to Insignia! :-/
Today panned out as predicted with Soumare the only player making substantial gains and I'll be interested to see what scores Marius Wolf comes up from now on.
Tomorrow is quite interesting on a few fronts. First of all forget about the morning session.
10am becomes a bit more eventful with 3 players of interest - former PL player Gael Kakuta, he's incredibly cheap at 40p (maybe due to his parent club being Chinese but you can get off that train before the end of the season). He's historically had a good scoring record chipping in with his fair share of assists.
Chuba Akpom is coming on at 60p which is a bit high for me compared to Eddie Nketiah 63p who appears to have usurped him at the Arse!
The biggest draw in this section though will probably be Rayhaan Tulloch, he actually made the West Brom bench vs Swansea this year at the tender age of 16 and they have big hopes for this kid. We all know what happens to high profile Premier League talented Forwards and they don't stick at 40p that's for sure.
Across the channel we have yet another Lyon striking youngster in Myziane Maolida who spearheaded a star studded Lyon team this month (one of those who's he moments when I saw the lineup!) if you do a Danny Rose and google him you'll find he's very highly thought of and a definite mover from his starting block of 50p.
Felipe Caicedo is an ex City youngster now plying his trade at Lazio, he's been used more in the Europa League and hit some goals there but not regular enough for me to justify a 70p IPO when compared against other Serie A strikers who play all the time.
Kenny Lala is the enigma of the day for me, goal scoring defenders are gold dust on the Index so 80p is a snip if you think his 3 goals and 3 assists this season are truly representative of his ability moving forward, his baseline looks pretty solid too but you can shave a bit of value off being with Strasbourg. My take on it is he won't get much attention tomorrow but he could well be worth taking a speculative punt on.
Daniele Verde is on Loan at a crap team in Verona and isn't breaking any records there but with Roma probably selling Dzeko to Chelsea could there be opportunity for his to stake a claim. He's only 21 so think 60p is more or less where he should be.
So in a nutshell I expect Tulloch and Maolida to make the biggest gains and wouldn't be surprised to see Kakuta backed a little bit too.
Good luck all.
After a very dismal day on the IPO's I was hoping for some action tomorrow and it's a tad disappointing.
Before I moan about Lasagna's price (must be the Waitrose version) there is one standout candidate in the shape of Boubakary Soumare! Stringing 65 AVGPPG together his stats are very solid on their own right BUT the biggest factor is that City appear to be preparing a bid (all over todays Media - so considering what happened to Fred on IPO I suspect they're be a few hitting buy on this fella.
Right back to the Lasagna from M&S, Guys we wanted the Aldi version that's nice and cheap and probably tastes just as good! Oh well, it is what it is, Kevin was on a hot streak a short while back and Udinese are unbeaten in quite a while, along with Barak this guys is the driving force in terms of goals. However, when I look around that price there are equally talented Serie A strikers better priced below 80p in my opinion.
Marius Wolf doesn't look too bad considering he actually plays in midfield and should have a decent baseline, I suspect a GWG from him could see possible PB contention and he's only 22!!
Sticking with the youth Robin Hack looks promising as he's broken through-ish at Hoffenheim, still think he should be 40p given the absence of data and Xfer Speculation. An interesting point to note here is that Mark Uth is off to Schalke in the summer so there's a striking spot at TSG up for grabs.
Arambarri is a card magnet so imagine his persistent fouling will wipe out any chance of PB.
Choupo-Moting would be mildly interesting at a lower price if he was in the Fwd category but can't see him doing anything from Midfield.
Finally that leaves the old guard, Nolito, Nani, Okazaki and Denis Suarez. A non-goal scoring defender for Getafe is pointless and the 3 strikers could build a Nordic cabin from the splinters they accumulate sat on the bench.
After a humdinger of a day on the IPO's today; tomorrow offers another day full of potential.
Don't go on the lash tonight cos you'll need to wide awake for the 8am session. We see teen sensation Jann-Fiete Arp IPO for a very generous 50p, only just turned 18 and like Pellegri hasn't had to wait before being plunged into the 1st team. Had a great start to his Hamburg career with 2 goals and had Germany claiming they had their own Harry Kane in the making. Rumours suggest Chelsea and City were fighting over him a couple of months ago with the usual spiel from the Hamburg Director of we won't sell him and we all know money talks.
A Chelsea/City theme continues with Frenkie de Jong, a goal scoring CDM with great stats all round, I think I have a real Ajax addiction when it comes to FI - Younes, Neres, Ziyech, de Beek and de Ligt (Kluivert too if you insist) and whilst analysing de Beek I actually noticed Frenkie de Jong was more impressive from what I could see. 40p is a tempting flip starting point but with his stats and Xfer Spec I would seriously contemplate a long term hold on this guy along the lines of Lo Celso.
Dujon Sterling has made the Chelsea bench a few times recently and got on against Norwich in the 1st leg and Bournemouth are wanting him on loan so you could look towards Ake's price of 83p but he's clearly behind Ampadu in the pecking order so suspect we'll see a rise towards the 50p so not massive.
Yuri Berchiche @ PSG is the latest full back to make that slot his own but they do have lots of talent, taking Kurzawa, Meunier, Silva, Marquinhos and Kimpembe as benchmarks you'd probably pitch him around the 95 to £1 mark so plenty of juice in the tank at 80p.
Being a Spurs fan I had to smile seeing Mini Messi Marcus Edwards come up for IPO. I've seen masses of footage on this guy and at 50p he represents a wonderful shot to nothing because if he lives up to his potential he could be a world beater. Just landed a loan deal at Norwich so keep your eyes peeled for a wonder goal in the near future ;-)
I thought surely not when I saw Pedro Mendes and so it proved to be as this guy is one of the very youthful Montpellier defenders keeping clean sheets for fun. He's a bit pricey though at 70p (as is teammate Aguilar also coming on at 70p tomorrow) and you're better off with Roussillon (stupidly low at 40p), Skrihi 50p or Mukiele at 70p. You could buy the whole defence and probably get a decent return as they're all pretty young and no doubt on the fringe of bigger things.
Bardhi at Levante is a decent midfielder and 50p isn't a bad price for a free-kick scoring youngster so it's just a question of how much you shave off for being at a poor side. Wouldn't be surprised to see him limp up to 65p for those who watch a lot of La Liga.
I can't see how Mbengue justifies an 80p IPO, a bit baffling that one, makes Milner look cheap!
Then if you have any FI cash left before the weekend have a peek at Santiago Ascacibar @ 60p, only 20 and a mainstay in Stuttgart midfield, has solid stats but I can't really see evidence of a goal threat.
I'm off to see what cash I can free up! Good luck tomorrow guys!
Yeah I'm not selling my Banega's for love nor money!
The IPO's are published just after lunch for the following day, 10 players divided into 4 timeslots each 2 hours long. You can find them in the blog section.
They used to be published at random times which was a pain in the arse BUT credit where credits due FI DO listen to their customers. Obviously can't tune it to everyone's wishes as they have a business to run. Never met Adam Cole but what he has built is truly incredible and hats off to him and his team.