I’ll just leave this topic here...
To anyone who sold their Pogba futures, shame on you. Never sell a Pogba!
@Coleyscrooge I was looking for this thread yesterday when I read that in the Q&A, wondered if it was the same person! That’s some dedicated digging!
Congrats @El-Marko89, loved the design you did. Can’t wait to see what improvements you get to make.
That’s a good, subtle pump for Bale there, I’m impressed!
The simple fact is Pogba has so much tied up I him because he ticks the boxes for several types of trader. For those looking for dividends, he’s in the papers every day for one reason or another so reaps MB, more so than any other player. Not forgetting he is actually a world class player as we saw during his purple patch, so there’s the opportunity (albeit limited recently)for PB too. Added to what he’s already returned during the season, he’s also going to increase his dividend return over the summer due to the transfer saga with Real Madrid which wont happen - more on that later...
For long term traders who look at capital growth, he’s also a box ticker. He’s going to be a top 3 priced future on FI for the next 12-24 months at least, so he will grow as the index grows. In essence, he’s basically a better paying ISA - a steady return. Yes, there’s a list of players who will grow more in a short space of time. Traders can sell him and buy a player who will grow this week, sell them and buy someone who grows the week after etc, but for those traders who don’t have time or motivation to do that, Pogba is one of the best options for safe, low risk investing. That’s why he jumps so much when announcements happen - safe money in volatile times.
With his reduction to 7.50 ish, he also gives shorter term traders the opportunity to get capital appreciation too. Last week he rose to 7.75 ish within a few days due to a couple of days. With commission, granted it’s not the best return, but he’ll be 8 quid again before long so it’s a 50p increase waiting to happen.
Now, it’s also just my opinion here and it’s safe to say others will differ, but even with all the paper talk, it’s highly unlikely he’ll move this summer. First, Real Madrid need players in other positions more (Hazard on the wing, a goal scorer to replace Benzema to name two) and they can’t afford 3 high priced players. Getting money for Bale is off the table now too, so they would need to sell a good few other players to raise funds. RM announced Kroos signing a new contract, so central midfield clearly isn’t a priority.
Secondly, Man Utd don’t want to sell for a number of reasons. Remember the pursuits of David De Gea? Or Ronaldo before that? Possibly even Rooney at some point too. Lots of talk, and nothing happened... at least for 12 months anyway with Ronaldo.
For those who would prefer a brief summary instead of the essay above - low risk, high return. That’s why more money is invested in Pogba than any other player on the index, and all those traders can’t be wrong!
Adding another to this watch list...
@Rich-from-FI, formerly FI Genius, started a thread for Foden for England. Obvs that was BS, and looking through the history he’s pushed him a few times already. Childish comments when challenged, and changed his name part way through the thread. @ScouseSte i tagged you in a comment on there and the whole thread has been deleted...
This is some good rationale @Dan-The-Man, and @ericali I understand why you’d think you it makes sense to miss out on 30-40p to avoid missing out on £1.50 (or probably even more judging by the reaction then overreaction in the market).
Only 2 points that aren’t factored in to your thoughts currently in my opinion.
I agree, there is still a risk in holding but I’m confident that he will continue to rise until July. Therefore anyone getting in now can still benefit, and current holders like myself will continue to do so. Obviously I would say he has value as I hold, but that the whole point right? Holding players who you think will go up?
Agree with you on this @TOM201 . There is a risk with Pog, and it’s all about getting out at the right time. Someone mentioned an entry strategy too at some point in this thread - I think that needs to be as soon as possible to male the most out of it! He went up 6 or 7p yesterday with his MB win. He’s heavily linked to Real and Barca, and his agent can’t trade him until August. Conservatively, if the same happened 10 times across 3 months, he’s up to £8.30 ish, with another 20p per share of divs to cover the commission when selling. Personally I also think there will be an influx of buying towards the end of this bonus period, and also some at the end of June for the 5mb days which will benefit him too, but even if that doesn’t happen Pogba and his media wins & cap appreciation make him a solid hold.
My exit strategy? I’m getting out when his agent can trade again...
@Londoner Funnily enough, I was wondering the same thing last week actually. I even had a look through his posts to see if he’d mentioned that he had to leave or anything. Think he said once he lived near the City Ground or Trent Bridge.
@dannypea you’re a fellow Nottingham lad, don’t suppose you know him outside the forums do you?
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