@Vespasian32 yeah - valid points. Was just trying to work our the size of my holding when Kane returned me most of those divs and I think he has returned me just more than 10% when you account for fact I used to have a smaller holding.
Posts made by Wotabeast
RE: Harry Kane
@Vespasian32 Having held Kane for the same time as I have held all of my top 10 holds (since January 2019), I can tell you he's not a terrible pick in terms of cap app and divs combined:
Neymar - 17.5% cap app, 16% divs - 33.5% overall
Pogba - 31% cap app, 23.5% divs - 54.5% overall
Mbappe - 54% cap app, 2% divs - 56% overall
Sancho - 107% cap app, 2% divs - 109% overall
Sterling - 140% cap app, 12% divs - 152% overall
Salah - 22% cap app, 11% divs - 33% overall
Kane - 45% cap app, 8% divs - 53% overall
Kane is the only one of those who I have topped up on significantly in that time so the divs figure is a bit lower than it should be, as the majority of the divs were earned with a smaller holding.
So I would say he's a good solid hold - in the last 8 months he's returned me comparable figures to Pogba and Mbappe, and better than Salah and Neymar. Sancho and Sterling I have gotten lucky with.
RE: Market booming
@ChazFI123 I would say its best to read when you expect the market to pick up again, and then yes, buy just before the boom! I wouldn't take my predictions as gospel though - you need to think for yourself about when the market will pick up.
I was looking at the market in June and saying on here how i expected the top 10 to pick up soon, as they had been tailing off since the Share Split at the end of March, with the rest of the top 100 catching them up. I was proved right with that, as the top 10 have been flying up since more or less mid-June (just days after posting on here that i expected it to pick up):
It was also inevitable that the top players and the PB beasts were going to see money flowing into them as the season approached and kicked off. That one was pretty easy to predict as they had been tailing off during the early summer and the youth bubble was in full swing. But as real football comes around, people want to see players in their port actually playing.
I was preparing my port for the new season quite a few weeks ago - if you read the trends then you can get ahead of the game and it totally makes sense to do so. The majority of traders are very reactive and only jump on trains that are already in motion, but to me that just seems lazy.
RE: Market booming
@Advinculas-Index Yeah i was thinking of something to turbo-charge it around that time, as i expect there will be a drop-off in trading as everyone settles into the routine of the season.
Whenever my port has seen huge growth across a month, the following month or two are inevitably quiet, so i'm realistic that it can't keep growing organically as it has been of late. I don't see a huge amount more growth in the top end in the immediate future (unless Pogba and Neymar take off again).
RE: Market booming
I've been at least 1% up per day for the last couple of weeks, which i'm very happy with, but i expect the current levels of growth will tail off very soon, and we will go into a period of more moderate, but still steady growth for the next month or so.
It may then go relatively quiet until the end of the year, unless FI intervene with a promotion, which they may well do in order to break up the long period between now and the transfer window speculation kicking in.
That said, i hope i'm wrong!
RE: Juan Foyth
@Brabbn Foyth played the majority of his minutes at centre-back last season, and though he has been used as a right-back towards the end of the season, and i think by Argentina in the Copa America, it might be a bit premature yet to see him as a full-time right-back.
Will be interesting to see when he comes back from injury, along with Aurier, as to who Poch favours in that position. I like Foyth as a CB but he clearly has the ability and technique to play as a RB as well.
I also think Foyth is well suited to the PB matrix as a defender in a similar vein to Laporte (though of course he has a long way to go to match his level and quality). All in all a good hold i think - Poch rates him very highly and with Alderweireld ageing, i think there is a plan for Foyth to become a regular at CB in the next few years.
RE: Henderson vs Neymar
@Dan-The-Man Nice one - i think we have to agree to disagree on this one and acknowledge there is more than one way to skin a cat.
For the record I have held 810 shares in Neymar since January (with a small holding prior to that), and currently 92p up in cap app (£745), with a further £724 in divs. At his high point prior to injury/rape allegations i was £2.52 up in cap app (£2,041) - so i hope in the coming season he can get back to somewhere near his previous high point.
Onwards and upwards, as they say.
RE: The Neymar drop...again!?
@Dan-The-Man That answer is again ignoring what is going to happen with Neymar. If Henderson has 2 good days instead of 1, and Neymar somehow freezes in time and returns the same or worse cap app and divs as the last 6 months, then you are right. However that is highly unlikely to happen. Once again your analysis and argument is incomplete.
In the time Henderson has those two good days, Neymar might have posted regular huge PB scores and done regular outrageous things that have plastered him all over the media for tonnes of MB.
RE: Henderson vs Neymar
Bottom line for me is that you need to look at those 12 month graphs, and combined with your knowledge of football and the market, place your bet on what you think will happen in the future.
For me I look at that Henderson graph and see that for the 6 months or so to March 2019 his price drifted slowly down without him doing anything particularly good or bad. There was just little interest in him. His price spiked when Liverpool's title and CL run came around, combined with international matches. That says to me that interest in Hendo depends heavily on big successes on the pitch.
In that time we also saw Neymar's price rocket for no standout reason other than he is very good for dividends and the media and the market seem to love him. His price then dropped substantially owing to a rape allegation and a major injury.
My prediction for the coming season is that by and large, Neymar will continue to be Neymar and Henderson will continue to be Henderson. Call me conservative if you will, but I see Neymar continuing to be a dividend beast and a media darling, and I see Henderson just continuing to do what he does. I also don't see Neymar having such a catastrophic season again any time soon. Barring any freak occurrences, if I had £1k to put into either Neymar or Henderson today, i would whack it straight into Neymar.